Showing posts with label AH AKAM ICE CRR WHQ WCG NDX. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AH AKAM ICE CRR WHQ WCG NDX. Show all posts

Saturday, May 5, 2007

Pigs?

When do you take profits? How do you remove the emotions that you are feeling when you have a trade that is going just like you wanted? In an earlier post I had mentioned AH, and was thinking at the time about the fall of 2007 time period. Thursday the stock rocketed up on strong volume and I know many would just cash in. But it looked like it was going to have a strong close and it did. Closing at the high for the day! Doesn't that mean the only thing keeping it from going higher is the Bell ringing?




That's what I thought it meant. It tacked on another 5%. Pigs get slaughtered. That's what they say. So how do you determine when you are a pig and when you are letting your winners run? I chose to hang on and took no profits. I am sure emotions will have me second guessing myself as profit taking comes in, but I think there is a little more buying to come, I like 89.




So this was sort of a "live" test as I did a strangle 4 days prior to earnings. The stock has moved 15 points in the last 3 days and I closed out my Puts for 10 cent loss and the overall trade is up 39%. This is not an example of a good trader, but rather a gambler that put the odds in his favor AND got lucky. I had original been attracted to this trade because of how tight the bollinger bands were, the stock is all the way outside of them right now.


AKAM - A lot of people are watching this one, I don't think the selling is all over and picked up some PUTs on what I hope is just a bear flag. The risk to reward is there.

CRR - not a real liquid stock but that does not make it untradeable. If this rolls over, this would be a great short candidate.


WHQ- nothing can go straight up with out taking a breather. Those two spinning tops with the second one getting smaller could be a signal of a little retracement right around the corner.


WCG - This stock was channeling up real nice and I played a couple times for a nice profit. For no reason at all, it took a huge dump. I have to wonder if this old trend line will hold up and bullish trade could be placed. The risk to reward is defiantly there, a stop is clear, a close below 80 and watch out below.


NDX - I can not say that I have ever traded a broadening top pattern, but I can say that I am about to. I don't know when it is going to break out and a partial retracement is likely first. Just have to watch it every day.


I seem to have more bearish things on the watch list than bullish. That is only natural after having another super bullish week. I think there are a ton of stocks and equities that are showing over bought. Time to tighten up the stops and look out below.